Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Ioana Păiuș
Author-Email: grancea.ioana@animv.eu
Author-Workplace-Name: "Mihai Viteazul" National Intelligence Academy
Author-Name: Tiberiu Tănase
Author-Email: tiberiu_tanase@yahoo.com
Author-Workplace-Name: Romanian Academy
Title: Securitate și informații într-o lume în schimbare
Abstract: It is no secret that the use of technology has revolutionized our way of everyday life in the last few decades. We are, in the modern world, all connected to each other and to society through the use of cyberspace and information technology, in various ways. This revolutionizing change is also present in conflicts, within channels for diplomacy and modern war. Historically, conflicts have adapted the arena of conflict through various means of innovations and inventions, from land to ocean to air, and now cyberspace, where we today see that it has become a new arena of conflict.
This paper explores how intelligence professionals can improve collaboration, integration, and analytical capabilities to identify national security risks, interests, and opportunities. Intelligence services provide strategic intelligence, provide in-depth assessments and developments to recognize and warn of changes related to specific issues that will affect the strategic environment in the future.
The strategic early warning community must have its overall impact measured by one criterion: the extent to which its assessments actually add informational and analytical value to the national decision-making process. This requires a qualitative, rather than a quantitative, judgment by policy elites.
The strategic intelligence community must thus be granted the authority and autonomy to best carry out its responsibilities free from artificially- imposed impediments created by the clumsy application of unresponsive bureaucratic norms. The policymaker may wish to know the weapons capabilities of adversaries and location of their warfighters. The amount of information that could be valuable in making political, economic, diplomatic or military decision making is potentially vast, and the collection is limited only by the resources available to a nation to fund networks of surveillance satellites, reconnaissance aircraft and listening devices.
An intelligence product is successful when it informs the decision-maker, policymaker or military leader with the necessary information and answers to win on their playing field. Intelligence analysis is a vital tool of modern security and many people may be unaware of the key role it plays. The aim of intelligence analysis is to conduct a detailed review of information collected in order to make informed decisions. Today, the threat landscape is changing. In an evolving world, understanding how criminals operate in increasingly complex ways is key to making informed decisions about security. Early warning and early response will be faced with an evolution of threats over the next decade. These threats will come from the combined impacts on conflict and instability of climate change, fallout from ongoing wars, fallout from the war on terror, and the increasing criminalisation of conflict. Indeed, the future relevance of the field depends largely on work undertaken now to understand and provide useful analysis on these new emerging threats.
Classification-JEL: D80, F50
Keywords: Intelligence, National Security, War, Intelligence Analysis, Information, Change, Future
Journal: Intelligence și Cultura de Securitate
Pages: 217-235
Volume: 1
Issue: 1
Year: 2022
File-URL: https://www.animv.ro/RePEc/mvn/incsec/ICS_1_2022_1_217-235.pdf
File-Format: Application/pdf
Handle: RePEc:mvn:incsec:v:1:y:2022:i:1:p:217-235